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SNAP-II和SNAPPE-II:简化的新生儿疾病严重程度及死亡风险评分。

SNAP-II and SNAPPE-II: Simplified newborn illness severity and mortality risk scores.

作者信息

Richardson D K, Corcoran J D, Escobar G J, Lee S K

机构信息

Joint Program in Neonatology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Children's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

出版信息

J Pediatr. 2001 Jan;138(1):92-100. doi: 10.1067/mpd.2001.109608.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Illness severity scores for newborns are complex and restricted by birth weight and have dated validations and calibrations. We developed and validated simplified neonatal illness severity and mortality risk scores. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.

STUDY DESIGN

Thirty neonatal intensive care units in Canada, California, and New England collected data on all admissions during the mid 1990s; patients moribund at birth or discharged to normal newborn care in <24 hours were excluded. Starting with the 34 data elements of the Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology (SNAP), we derived the most parsimonious logistic model for in-hospital mortality using 10,819 randomly selected Canadian cases. SNAP-II includes 6 physiologic items; to this are added points for birth weight, low Apgar score, and small for gestational age to create a 9-item SNAP-Perinatal Extension-II (SNAPPE-II). We validated SNAPPE-II on the remaining 14,610 cases and optimized the calibration.

RESULTS

In all birth weights, SNAPPE-II had excellent discrimination and goodness of fit. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve was .91 +/- 0.01. Goodness of fit (Hosmer-Lemeshow) was 0.90.

CONCLUSIONS

SNAP-II and SNAPPE-II are empirically validated illness severity and mortality risk scores for newborn intensive care. They are simple, accurate, and robust across populations.

摘要

目的

新生儿疾病严重程度评分复杂,受出生体重限制,且验证和校准已过时。我们开发并验证了简化的新生儿疾病严重程度和死亡风险评分。主要结局是住院死亡率。

研究设计

加拿大、加利福尼亚和新英格兰的30个新生儿重症监护病房收集了20世纪90年代中期所有入院患者的数据;出生时濒死或在24小时内出院至正常新生儿护理的患者被排除。从新生儿急性生理学评分(SNAP)的34个数据元素开始,我们使用10819例随机选择的加拿大病例得出了最简洁的住院死亡率逻辑模型。SNAP-II包括6个生理项目;在此基础上加上出生体重、低阿氏评分和小于胎龄的分数,以创建一个9项的SNAP围产期扩展-II(SNAPPE-II)。我们在其余14610例病例上验证了SNAPPE-II并优化了校准。

结果

在所有出生体重组中,SNAPPE-II具有出色的区分度和拟合优度。受试者操作特征曲线下面积为.91±0.01。拟合优度(Hosmer-Lemeshow)为0.90.

结论

SNAP-II和SNAPPE-II是经过实证验证的新生儿重症监护疾病严重程度和死亡风险评分。它们简单、准确且在不同人群中都很可靠。

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