Huston T L, Caughlin J P, Houts R M, Smith S E, George L J
Department of Human Ecology, University of Texas at Austin, 78712, USA.
J Pers Soc Psychol. 2001 Feb;80(2):237-52. doi: 10.1037/0022-3514.80.2.237.
This study showed that couples' newlywed marriages and changes in their union over the first 2 years foreshadow their long-term marital fate after 13 years. Consistent with the enduring dynamics model, differences in the intensity of newlyweds' romance as well as the extent to which they expressed negative feelings toward each other predicted (a) whether or not they were happy 13 years later (among those who stayed married) and (b) how long their marriage lasted prior to separation (for those who divorced). The results provide little support for the idea that emergence of distress (e.g., increasing negativity) early in marriage leads to marital failure but instead show that disillusionment--as reflected in an abatement of love, a decline in overt affection, a lessening of the conviction that one's spouse is responsive, and an increase in ambivalence--distinguishes couples headed for divorce from those who establish a stable marital bond.
这项研究表明，夫妻新婚时的婚姻状况以及头两年婚姻关系的变化预示着他们13年后的长期婚姻命运。与持久动力模型一致，新婚夫妻浪漫程度的差异以及他们彼此表达负面情绪的程度预测了：（a）13年后他们是否幸福（在维持婚姻的人群中）；（b）他们的婚姻在分居前持续了多久（对于离婚的人来说）。研究结果几乎没有支持婚姻早期出现困扰（如负面情绪增加）会导致婚姻失败这一观点，而是表明，幻灭——表现为爱意减退、公开示爱的减少、对配偶回应自己的确信度降低以及矛盾心理增加——将走向离婚的夫妻与建立稳定婚姻关系的夫妻区分开来。
