Nichol K L
Medicine Service (111), Veterans Affairs Medical Center, One Veterans Drive, Minneapolis, MN 55417, USA.
Arch Intern Med. 2001 Mar 12;161(5):749-59. doi: 10.1001/archinte.161.5.749.
Influenza is a major cause of illness, disruption to daily life, and work absenteeism among healthy working adults aged between 18 and 64 years. This group is not included among the traditional priority groups for annual vaccination. Immunization rates remain low.
To assess the economic implications of a strategy for annual vaccination of this group.
Using the societal perspective, this cost-benefit analysis included the direct and indirect costs associated with vaccination as well as the direct and indirect costs prevented by vaccination. Clinical and economic variable estimates were derived primarily from the published literature. For this model, it was assumed that vaccination occurred in efficient, low-cost settings such as at the work site. Monte Carlo simulation was used to calculate the mean net costs or savings along with the 95% probability interval, and sensitivity analyses explored the sensitivity of the cost model to different values of the input variables.
Vaccinating healthy working adults was on average cost saving, with mean savings of $13.66 per person vaccinated (95% probability interval: net savings of $32.97 to net costs of $2.18), with vaccination generating net savings 95% of the time. The model was most sensitive to the influenza illness rate, the work absenteeism rate due to influenza, and hourly wages. In the worst-case scenario vaccination was not cost saving. Vaccination also generated net costs to society during years with a poor vaccine-circulating virus strain match. In all of the other sensitivity analysis scenarios, vaccination was cost saving.
Influenza vaccination of healthy working adults on average is cost saving. These findings support a strategy of routine, annual vaccination for this group, especially when vaccination occurs in efficient and low-cost sites.
流感是导致18至64岁健康在职成年人患病、日常生活受干扰以及旷工的主要原因。该群体未被纳入传统的年度疫苗接种优先群体。免疫接种率仍然很低。
评估针对该群体进行年度疫苗接种策略的经济影响。
从社会角度出发,这项成本效益分析包括与疫苗接种相关的直接和间接成本以及疫苗接种预防的直接和间接成本。临床和经济变量估计主要来自已发表的文献。对于此模型,假设疫苗接种在高效、低成本的环境中进行,如工作场所。使用蒙特卡洛模拟来计算平均净成本或节省金额以及95%的概率区间,敏感性分析探讨了成本模型对输入变量不同值的敏感性。
为健康在职成年人接种疫苗平均可节省成本,每人接种疫苗平均节省13.66美元(95%概率区间:净节省32.97美元至净成本2.18美元),95%的情况下疫苗接种可产生净节省。该模型对流感发病率、因流感导致的旷工率和小时工资最为敏感。在最坏的情况下,疫苗接种不节省成本。在疫苗与流行病毒株匹配不佳的年份,疫苗接种也会给社会带来净成本。在所有其他敏感性分析场景中,疫苗接种都是节省成本的。
对健康在职成年人进行流感疫苗接种平均可节省成本。这些发现支持针对该群体进行常规年度疫苗接种的策略,尤其是在高效且低成本的场所进行疫苗接种时。