A'Hern R P
Department of Computing and Information, Royal Marsden NHS Trust, Fulham Road, London SW3 6JJ, UK.
Stat Med. 2001 Mar 30;20(6):859-66. doi: 10.1002/sim.721.
Tables for single-phase II trials based on the exact binomial distribution are presented. These are preferable to those generated using Fleming's design, which are based on the normal approximation and can give rise to anomalous results. For example, if the upper success rate is accepted, the lower success rate, which the trial is designed to reject, may be included in the final confidence interval for the proportion being estimated.
本文给出了基于精确二项分布的单相II期试验表。这些表格比使用弗莱明设计生成的表格更可取,后者基于正态近似,可能会产生异常结果。例如,如果接受了较高的成功率,那么试验旨在拒绝的较低成功率可能会包含在估计比例的最终置信区间内。