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自动挤奶系统中奶牛乳腺炎的检测模型。

Detection model for mastitis in cows milked in an automatic milking system.

作者信息

de Mol R M, Ouweltjes W

机构信息

Institute of Agricultural and Environmental Engineering (IMAG), P.O. Box 43, 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2001 Apr 13;49(1-2):71-82. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5877(01)00176-3.

Abstract

Automated detection of diseases (such as mastitis) in dairy cows might be an alternative for detection by observation during milking - especially when using an automatic milking system (AMS). An outline of a detection model is given. This detection model includes time-series models for two variables (milk yield and electrical conductivity of milk), with interpolation on previous values. The model is flexible in the number of variables actually used. Parameter values and the residual variances are updated by linear regression after each milking. Alerts for mastitis are given when the residuals fall outside given confidence intervals. A data set with 111 cows for 16 months (on average, 58 lactating cows per day) was used to test the model. Depending on the chosen confidence interval, 42-44 out of 48 cases of clinical mastitis were detected; the remaining cases were not detected because not all data needed were available. These results were better than the results obtained with the model usually used on the farm. The number of false-positive alerts depended on the chosen confidence interval and was higher than the number found with the model usually used.

摘要

自动检测奶牛疾病(如乳腺炎)可能是一种替代挤奶时观察检测的方法,尤其是在使用自动挤奶系统(AMS)时。文中给出了一个检测模型的概述。该检测模型包括针对两个变量(产奶量和牛奶电导率)的时间序列模型,并对先前值进行插值。该模型在实际使用的变量数量方面具有灵活性。每次挤奶后通过线性回归更新参数值和残差方差。当残差落在给定的置信区间之外时,发出乳腺炎警报。使用一个包含111头奶牛、为期16个月(平均每天58头泌乳奶牛)的数据集来测试该模型。根据所选的置信区间,在48例临床乳腺炎病例中检测出42 - 44例;其余病例未被检测到,原因是并非所有所需数据都可用。这些结果优于农场通常使用的模型所获得的结果。假阳性警报的数量取决于所选的置信区间,且高于通常使用的模型所发现的数量。

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