Bent P, Tan H K, Bellomo R, Buckmaster J, Doolan L, Hart G, Silvester W, Gutteridge G, Matalanis G, Raman J, Rosalion A, Buxton B F
Department of Intensive Care, Austin & Repatriation Medical Centre, Heidelberg, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Ann Thorac Surg. 2001 Mar;71(3):832-7. doi: 10.1016/s0003-4975(00)02177-9.
The aim of this study was to test whether early and intensive use of continuous venovenous hemofiltration (CVVH) achieved a better than predicted outcome in patients with severe acute renal failure undergoing cardiac operations, and whether a simple and yet accurate model could be developed to predict their outcome before starting CVVH.
Medical record analysis with collection of demographic, clinical, and outcome information was used.
Sixty-five consecutive patients were treated with early and intensive CVVH (mean operation to CVVH time, 2.38 days; pump-controlled ultrafiltration rate, 2 L/h) after coronary artery bypass grafting (56.9%), single valve procedure (16.9%), or combined operations (26.2%). In 32.3% of patients, intraaortic balloon counterpulsation was required and 20% of patients were emergencies. Sustained hypotension despite inotropic and vasopressor support occurred in 40% of patients and prolonged mechanical ventilation in 58.5%. Using an outcome prediction score specific for acute renal failure, the predicted risk of death was 66%. Actual mortality was 40% (p = 0.003). Using multivariate logistic regression analysis and neural network analysis, patient outcome could be predicted with good levels of accuracy (receiver operating characteristic 0.89 and 0.9, respectively).
Early and aggressive CVVH is associated with better than predicted survival in severe acute renal failure after cardiac operations. Using readily available clinical data, the outcome of such patients can be predicted before the implementation of CVVH.
本研究的目的是测试在接受心脏手术的严重急性肾衰竭患者中,早期强化使用连续性静脉-静脉血液滤过(CVVH)是否能取得优于预期的结果,以及是否能开发出一种简单而准确的模型,在开始CVVH之前预测患者的预后。
采用病历分析,收集人口统计学、临床和预后信息。
65例连续患者在冠状动脉旁路移植术(56.9%)、单瓣膜手术(16.9%)或联合手术(26.2%)后接受了早期强化CVVH治疗(平均手术至CVVH时间为2.38天;泵控超滤率为2L/h)。32.3%的患者需要主动脉内球囊反搏,20%的患者为急诊手术。40%的患者尽管使用了正性肌力药物和血管升压药物支持仍持续低血压,58.5%的患者机械通气时间延长。使用针对急性肾衰竭的预后预测评分,预测死亡风险为66%。实际死亡率为40%(p = 0.003)。使用多因素逻辑回归分析和神经网络分析,可以较好地预测患者的预后(受试者工作特征曲线下面积分别为0.89和0.9)。
在心脏手术后严重急性肾衰竭患者中,早期积极的CVVH治疗与优于预期的生存率相关。利用现有的临床数据,可以在实施CVVH之前预测此类患者的预后。