Park S, Shinohara K, Grossfeld G D, Carroll P R
Department of Urology and Program in Urologic Oncology, University of California, San Francisco and Mount Zion Comprehensive Cancer Center, San Francisco, California, USA.
J Urol. 2001 May;165(5):1409-14.
We used clinical variables to predict prostate cancer detection on re-biopsy among patients diagnosed with high grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PIN) or atypia on initial prostate biopsy.
A total of 45 men with atypia and 43 with high grade PIN were eligible for our study. Clinical variables were tested with univariate and multivariate logistic regression to predict who would have cancer on re-biopsy. We also calculated the odds of detecting cancer with various repeat sampling strategies and determined whether the location of initial atypia or high grade PIN is correlated to that of cancer on re-biopsy.
Of the patients in the atypia and high grade PIN groups 51% had cancer on re-biopsy. Cancer was diagnosed significantly earlier in the high grade PIN than in the atypia cohort (average 7.5 versus 22.9 months, respectively, p = 0.005). Multivariate logistic modeling showed that digital rectal examination and patient age were independent predictors of cancer in atypia, whereas no variables were significantly predictive for high grade PIN. Of cancers in the atypia and high grade PIN 65% and 74%, respectively, would have been detected if re-biopsy was focused only at the initial site of disease.
Men with atypia or high grade PIN merit close followup because 50% will have cancer on re-biopsy as will those who are older with an abnormal digital rectal examination. Although re-biopsy should focus primarily on the original site of atypia or high grade PIN, cancer detection significantly increases with the sampling of adjacent sites.
我们使用临床变量来预测在初次前列腺活检诊断为高级别前列腺上皮内瘤变(PIN)或非典型病变的患者再次活检时前列腺癌的检出情况。
共有45例非典型病变患者和43例高级别PIN患者符合我们的研究条件。使用单变量和多变量逻辑回归对临床变量进行测试,以预测哪些患者在再次活检时会患有癌症。我们还计算了各种重复采样策略检测癌症的几率,并确定初次非典型病变或高级别PIN的位置与再次活检时癌症的位置是否相关。
在非典型病变组和高级别PIN组的患者中,51%在再次活检时患有癌症。高级别PIN组诊断出癌症的时间明显早于非典型病变组(分别为平均7.5个月和22.9个月,p = 0.005)。多变量逻辑模型显示,直肠指检和患者年龄是非典型病变中癌症的独立预测因素,而没有变量对高级别PIN有显著预测作用。如果再次活检仅聚焦于疾病的初始部位,分别有65%和74%的非典型病变和高级别PIN中的癌症会被检测到。
非典型病变或高级别PIN的男性值得密切随访,因为50%的患者在再次活检时会患有癌症,年龄较大且直肠指检异常的患者也是如此。虽然再次活检应主要聚焦于非典型病变或高级别PIN的原始部位,但对相邻部位进行采样可显著提高癌症检测率。