The next iteration of managed care? Panel discussion.

What did our five panelists predict for the next iteration of managed care? What do they see happening now? What will the health care industry look like in ten years? Employers will shift an increasing share of rising medical and prescription drug costs to consumers through higher co-pays and defined contributions. Some providers may market their services to attract these consumers. Tightly managed HMOs will provide access to lower-income consumers. So for, e-health is helping managed care organizations cut administrative costs, but not medical expenses. Genetic testing and therapies will not be commercially available for ten to 15 years. Based on demographic trends and labor shortages, demand is likely to exceed the capacity of the health care system within the next three decades. Our five experts caution that managed care is as unpredictable and chaotic as ever, but they do their best to tell you how they think it'll all play out in the near term.