Wall Street comes to Washington: where is health care headed?

Although health care spending trends have slowed slightly, employers and consumers can expect another round of double-digit health insurance premium increases in 2004, according to a panel of market and health policy experts at the Center for Studying Health System Change's (HSC) eighth annual Wall Street roundtable. Firms will continue to shift costs to workers but are skeptical of new insurance products, including consumer-driven health plans and tiered provider networks. Most health plans are thriving as they continue to price products ahead of cost trends and gain administrative efficiencies. Many hospitals, facing revenue pressures from increasing competition from physician-owned specialty facilities, are continuing aggressive building campaigns, raising concerns about increased costs if they overshoot and add too much capacity. Efforts to revive the ailing Medicare managed care program face an uphill climb as Congress debates reforms as part of prescription drug legislation.