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衡量疾病的地区负担:撒哈拉以南非洲地区寿命损失年数的研究

Measuring the local burden of disease. A study of years of life lost in sub-Saharan Africa.

作者信息

Würthwein R, Gbangou A, Sauerborn R, Schmidt C M

机构信息

Alfred Weber-Institute, University of Heidelberg, Germany.

出版信息

Int J Epidemiol. 2001 Jun;30(3):501-8. doi: 10.1093/ije/30.3.501.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

An effective health policy necessitates a reliable characterization of the burden of disease (BOD) by cause. The Global Burden of Disease Study (GBDS) aims to deliver this information. For sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in particular, the GBDS relies on extrapolations and expert guesses. Its results lack validation by locally measured epidemiological data.

METHODS

This study presents locally measured BOD data for a health district in Burkina Faso and compares them to the results of the GBDS for SSA. As BOD indicator, standard years of life lost (age-weighted YLL, discounted with a discount rate of 3%) are used as proposed by the GBDS. To investigate the influence of different age and time preference weights on our results, the BOD pattern is again estimated using, first, YLL with no discounting and no age-weighting, and, second, mortality figures.

RESULTS

Our data exhibit the same qualitative BOD pattern as the GBDS results regarding age and gender. We estimated that 53.9% of the BOD is carried by men, whereas the GBDS reported this share to be 53.2%. The ranking of diseases by BOD share, though, differs substantially. Malaria, diarrhoeal diseases and lower respiratory infections occupy the first three ranks in our study and in the GBDS, only differing in their respective order. Protein-energy malnutrition, bacterial meningitis and intestinal nematode infections occupy ranks 5, 6 and 7 in Nouna but ranks 15, 27 and 38 in the GBDS. The results are not sensitive to the different age and time preference weights used. Specifically, the choice of parameters matters less than the choice of indicator.

CONCLUSIONS

Local health policy should rather be based on local BOD measurement instead of relying on extrapolations that might not represent the true BOD structure by cause.

摘要

背景

有效的卫生政策需要依据病因对疾病负担进行可靠的描述。全球疾病负担研究(GBDS)旨在提供此类信息。特别是对于撒哈拉以南非洲地区(SSA),GBDS依赖于推断和专家猜测。其结果缺乏当地实测流行病学数据的验证。

方法

本研究展示了布基纳法索一个卫生区的当地实测疾病负担数据,并将其与GBDS针对SSA的结果进行比较。作为疾病负担指标,采用GBDS提议的标准生命损失年数(年龄加权YLL,按3%的贴现率贴现)。为了研究不同年龄和时间偏好权重对我们结果的影响,再次估计疾病负担模式,首先使用未贴现且未进行年龄加权的YLL,其次使用死亡率数据。

结果

在年龄和性别方面,我们的数据呈现出与GBDS结果相同的定性疾病负担模式。我们估计男性承担了53.9%的疾病负担,而GBDS报告这一比例为53.2%。不过,按疾病负担份额对疾病进行的排名存在显著差异。疟疾、腹泻病和下呼吸道感染在我们的研究和GBDS中均位列前三,只是各自顺序不同。蛋白质 - 能量营养不良、细菌性脑膜炎和肠道线虫感染在努纳分别位列第5、第6和第7,但在GBDS中位列第15、第27和第38。结果对所使用的不同年龄和时间偏好权重不敏感。具体而言,参数的选择不如指标的选择重要。

结论

地方卫生政策应基于当地疾病负担测量,而非依赖可能无法反映按病因划分的真实疾病负担结构的推断。

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