Kilsztajn S, Silva C R, Silva D F, Michelin A, Carvalho A R, Ferraz I L
Laboratório de Economia Social, Programa de Estudos Pós-Graduados em Economia Política, Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Rev Saude Publica. 2001 Jun;35(3):262-8. doi: 10.1590/s0034-89102001000300008.
The mortality rate due to traffic accidents is an information often used while making public health policies. In order to measure traffic violence, a study was carried to analyze the number of death by traffic accidents per registered motor vehicle.
Based on the number of registered vehicles, population and traffic accident deaths, obtained from the Statistical Yearbook (1999), Demographic Yearbook (1997), Denatran (1999), Ministério da Saúde (2000) and Fundação IBGE (2000) 61 countries and 51 areas in Brazil were studied. Traffic accident mortality rate was broken down into registered motor vehicles per capita and the number of deaths per motor vehicle. To assess this relationship, the samples (international and Brazilian) were subdivided into three groups according to the number of vehicles per capita. To test the statistical significance of this relationship, log-linear regression was used.
The number of deaths per motor vehicles is associated to the number of registered motor vehicles per capita. The statistical relationship is -1.067 for international data and -0.515 for the Brazilian data.
To prevent traffic accidents, there is a need of further studies to explain the high numbers of deaths due to motor vehicles associated with the low rate of registered motor vehicles per capita.
交通事故死亡率是制定公共卫生政策时常用的一项信息。为衡量交通暴力情况,开展了一项研究以分析每辆登记机动车的交通事故死亡人数。
基于从《统计年鉴》(1999年)、《人口年鉴》(1997年)、巴西国家交通局(1999年)、卫生部(2000年)和巴西地理统计局(2000年)获取的登记车辆数量、人口及交通事故死亡人数,对61个国家和巴西的51个地区进行了研究。交通事故死亡率细分为人均登记机动车数量和每辆机动车的死亡人数。为评估这种关系,根据人均车辆数量将样本(国际和巴西样本)分为三组。为检验这种关系的统计学显著性,使用了对数线性回归。
每辆机动车的死亡人数与人均登记机动车数量相关。国际数据的统计关系为-1.067,巴西数据的统计关系为-0.515。
为预防交通事故,需要进一步开展研究以解释人均登记机动车数量较低情况下机动车导致的高死亡人数。