Heckman G, Hirman J, Kunches J, Balch C
Space Environment Services Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, CO 80303, USA.
Adv Space Res. 1984;4(10):165-72. doi: 10.1016/0273-1177(84)90239-4.
The routine monitoring and prediction of solar proton events that may be a hazard to personnel and materials in space are a routine service of the Space Environment Services Center in Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A. The services provided are made available to the space centers in the United States for use in their operations. The real time monitoring consists primarily of Space Environment Monitors on both geosynchronous and polar orbiting weather satellites. The monitoring emphasizes proton fluxes but alpha particles, electrons, and in one case, heavier particles, are included. The predictions are of two types; a general outlook made 1 to 3 days in advance, and specific prediction of event size and probability of occurrence made after a solar flare occurs. The accuracy of the prediction made for solar cycle 21 are assessed.
对可能危害太空中人员和物资的太阳质子事件进行常规监测和预测，是美国科罗拉多州博尔德市空间环境服务中心的一项日常工作。所提供的服务供美国各航天中心在其运营中使用。实时监测主要由地球同步轨道和极轨道气象卫星上的空间环境监测器完成。监测重点是质子通量，但也包括阿尔法粒子、电子，以及一次较重粒子。预测有两种类型：提前1至3天做出的总体展望，以及太阳耀斑发生后对事件规模和发生概率的具体预测。对第21太阳活动周期所做预测的准确性进行了评估。
