Knopoff L
Department of Physics and Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90024-1567, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1996 Apr 30;93(9):3830-7. doi: 10.1073/pnas.93.9.3830.
Although models of homogeneous faults develop seismicity that has a Gutenberg-Richter distribution, this is only a transient state that is followed by events that are strongly influenced by the nature of the boundaries. Models with geometrical inhomogeneities of fracture thresholds can limit the sizes of earthquakes but now favor the characteristic earthquake model for large earthquakes. The character of the seismicity is extremely sensitive to distributions of inhomogeneities, suggesting that statistical rules for large earthquakes in one region may not be applicable to large earthquakes in another region. Model simulations on simple networks of faults with inhomogeneities of threshold develop episodes of lacunarity on all members of the network. There is no validity to the popular assumption that the average rate of slip on individual faults is a constant. Intermediate term precursory activity such as local quiescence and increases in intermediate-magnitude activity at long range are simulated well by the assumption that strong weakening of faults by injection of fluids and weakening of asperities on inhomogeneous models of fault networks is the dominant process; the heat flow paradox, the orientation of the stress field, and the low average stress drop in some earthquakes are understood in terms of the asperity model of inhomogeneous faulting.
尽管均匀断层模型产生的地震活动具有古登堡-里希特分布,但这只是一种瞬态,随后的事件会受到边界性质的强烈影响。具有断裂阈值几何不均匀性的模型可以限制地震的大小,但现在更倾向于将特征地震模型应用于大地震。地震活动的特征对不均匀性分布极为敏感,这表明一个地区大地震的统计规律可能不适用于另一个地区。对具有阈值不均匀性的简单断层网络进行的模型模拟在网络的所有成员上都产生了空隙率事件。认为单个断层的平均滑动速率是恒定的这一普遍假设是无效的。通过假设注入流体导致断层强烈弱化以及断层网络不均匀模型上的粗糙体弱化是主导过程,可以很好地模拟中期前兆活动,如局部平静以及远距离中等震级活动增加;热流悖论、应力场方向以及某些地震中较低的平均应力降可以根据不均匀断层的粗糙体模型来理解。