Demers R Y, Tiwari A, Wei J, Weiss L K, Severson R K, Montie J
Henry Ford Health System, Josephine Ford Cancer Center, One Ford Place/5C, Detroit, MI 48202, USA.
Cancer. 2001 Nov 1;92(9):2309-17. doi: 10.1002/1097-0142(20011101)92:9<2309::aid-cncr1577>3.0.co;2-8.
After a surge in the incidence of prostate carcinoma in the early 1990s, diminishing rates of mortality became apparent in 1993. This decrease in mortality is unlikely to be explained entirely by treatment with curative intent alone following screen-detected cases, because the time frame between detection and mortality remains relatively brief.
This study used incidence and initial treatment data from the Detroit area SEER registry between 1973 and 1998 in addition to mortality data covering the Metropolitan Detroit area obtained from the Michigan Department of Community Health. Data for Caucasian and African-American men were analyzed. The use of androgen-deprivation therapy, which evolved during the study period, was evaluated in conjunction with mortality and incidence trend data for consideration of etiologic contributions.
The incidence of prostate carcinoma, as noted previously in national data, increased sharply in 1988, peaking in 1992 in Southeast Michigan, whereas mortality rates began to decrease in approximately 1993, with a sustained decrease to the latest recorded data in 1998. These trends were identical in Caucasians and African Americans. A sharp increase in the use of androgen-deprivation therapy began in 1990. This use of androgen-deprivation therapy is high and sustained for patients with early-stage disease, increases for several years, and then diminishes for patients with regional disease. The use also diminished through the 1990s for patients with late-stage disease, paralleling the decrease in the incidence rate for late-stage disease.
The pattern of androgen-deprivation therapy usage was consistent with that for hormonal monotherapy and adjuvant and neoadjuvant therapy. These findings suggest that androgen-deprivation therapy may contribute, along with advances in diagnostic techniques and curative therapy with radiation or surgery, toward decreasing prostate carcinoma mortality rates in Southeast Michigan.
20世纪90年代初前列腺癌发病率激增之后,1993年死亡率开始呈现下降趋势。死亡率的下降不太可能完全由对筛查出的病例进行根治性治疗来解释,因为从检测到死亡的时间间隔仍然相对较短。
本研究使用了底特律地区监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)登记处1973年至1998年的发病率和初始治疗数据,以及从密歇根州社区卫生部获得的底特律都会区的死亡率数据。对白人男性和非裔美国男性的数据进行了分析。结合死亡率和发病率趋势数据,对研究期间发展起来的雄激素剥夺疗法的使用情况进行了评估,以考虑其病因学贡献。
如之前全国数据所示,前列腺癌发病率在1988年急剧上升,1992年在密歇根州东南部达到峰值,而死亡率大约在1993年开始下降,并持续下降至1998年的最新记录数据。白人和非裔美国人的这些趋势是相同的。雄激素剥夺疗法的使用在1990年开始急剧增加。对于早期疾病患者,这种雄激素剥夺疗法的使用量很高且持续存在,持续数年增加,然后对于局部疾病患者使用量减少。在整个20世纪90年代,晚期疾病患者的使用量也减少了,与晚期疾病发病率的下降情况相似。
雄激素剥夺疗法的使用模式与激素单一疗法以及辅助和新辅助疗法的使用模式一致。这些发现表明,雄激素剥夺疗法可能与诊断技术的进步以及放疗或手术等根治性疗法一起,有助于降低密歇根州东南部的前列腺癌死亡率。