Chandramohan Daniel, Jaffar Shabbar, Greenwood Brian
Department of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Trop Med Int Health. 2002 Jan;7(1):45-52. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-3156.2002.00827.x.
Several attempts have been made to identify symptoms and signs based algorithms for diagnosing malaria. In this paper, we review the results of published studies and assess the risks and benefits of this approach in different epidemiological settings. Although in areas with a low prevalence the risk of failure to treat malaria resulting from the use of algorithms was low, the reduction in the wastage of drugs was trivial. The odds of wastage of drugs increased by 1.49 (95% confidence limit 1.45-1.51) for each 10% decrease in the prevalence of malaria. In highly endemic areas the algorithms had a high risk of failure to treat malaria. The odds of failure to treat increased by 1.57 (95% confidence limit 1.50-1.65) for each 10% increase in the prevalence. Furthermore, the best clinical algorithms for diagnosing malaria were site-specific. We conclude that the accuracy of clinical algorithms for diagnosing malaria is not sufficient to determine whether antimalarial drugs should be given to children presenting with febrile illness. In highly endemic areas where laboratory support is not available, the policy of offering antimalarial drugs to all children presenting with a febrile illness recommended by the integrated child management initiative is appropriate.
已经进行了多次尝试,以确定基于症状和体征的疟疾诊断算法。在本文中,我们回顾了已发表研究的结果,并评估了这种方法在不同流行病学环境中的风险和益处。虽然在低流行地区,使用算法导致未能治疗疟疾的风险较低,但药物浪费的减少微不足道。疟疾患病率每降低10%,药物浪费的几率就增加1.49(95%置信区间1.45 - 1.51)。在高度流行地区,这些算法有很高的未能治疗疟疾的风险。患病率每增加10%,未能治疗的几率就增加1.57(95%置信区间1.50 - 1.65)。此外,诊断疟疾的最佳临床算法是因地制宜的。我们得出结论,用于诊断疟疾的临床算法的准确性不足以确定是否应给发热疾病患儿使用抗疟药物。在无法获得实验室支持的高度流行地区,综合儿童管理倡议推荐的向所有发热疾病患儿提供抗疟药物的政策是合适的。