Raynaud-Simon A, Lafont S, Berr C, Dartigues J F, Le Bouc Y
Unité de Nutrition Gériatrique, Hôpital Charles Foix AP-HP, lvry sur Seine, France.
Clin Nutr. 2002 Feb;21(1):45-50. doi: 10.1054/clnu.2002.0534.
We explored the value of variables relating to inflammation and nutrition as a prognostic factors for mortality in an elderly community-dwelling population.
We measured plasma levels of orosomucoid, C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin, and transthyretin, and the body mass index (BMI) of 245 subjects aged 65 to 95 living in the community (PAQUID study). The risk of death was analyzed two, four and six years after blood sampling by use of the Cox proportional hazards model with delayed entry. A survival curve was generated by the Kaplan-Meier method.
Multivariate analysis--including sex, BMI, and plasma levels of albumin, transthyretin orosomucoid and CRP levels--showed that orosomucoid in the highest quartile (>0.88 g/L) was the strongest predictor of mortality two years after blood sampling [relative risk (RR)=7.4; 95% interval confidence (IC) 2.2-24.6; P<0.1]; the association remained significant four and six years after blood sampling [RR=2.5; 95%IC 1.2-5.2 and RR=1.9; 95%IC 1.0-3.4 respectively, P<0.05]. Orosomucoid levels above 1 g/L (the most accurate threshold for prediction of mortality) were associated with a strong increase in the risk of death two years [RR=12.3; 95%IC 4.3-35.0; P<0.001], four years [RR=6.9; 95%IC 3.3-14.7; P<0.001], and six years [RR=4.4; 95%IC 2.3-8.5; P<0.001) after blood sampling.
These results further underline the association between systemic inflammation and mortality. They may help us to identify of high-risk subpopulations of elderly subjects so we can employ prevention strategies.
我们探讨了与炎症和营养相关的变量作为老年社区居住人群死亡率预后因素的价值。
我们测量了245名年龄在65至95岁的社区居民(PAQUID研究)的血浆类黏蛋白、C反应蛋白(CRP)、白蛋白和转甲状腺素蛋白水平以及体重指数(BMI)。通过使用带有延迟入组的Cox比例风险模型,对采血后两年、四年和六年的死亡风险进行了分析。采用Kaplan-Meier方法生成生存曲线。
多变量分析——包括性别、BMI以及白蛋白、转甲状腺素蛋白、类黏蛋白的血浆水平和CRP水平——显示,处于最高四分位数(>0.88 g/L)的类黏蛋白是采血后两年死亡率的最强预测因子[相对风险(RR)=7.4;95%置信区间(IC)2.2 - 24.6;P<0.1];采血后四年和六年该关联仍显著[RR分别为2.5;95%IC 1.2 - 5.2和RR = 1.9;95%IC 1.0 - 3.4,P<0.05]。类黏蛋白水平高于1 g/L(预测死亡率的最准确阈值)与采血后两年[RR = 12.3;95%IC 4.3 - 35.0;P<0.001]、四年[RR = 6.9;95%IC 3.3 - 14.7;P<0.001]和六年[RR = 4.4;95%IC 2.3 - 8.5;P<0.001]死亡风险的大幅增加相关。
这些结果进一步强调了全身炎症与死亡率之间的关联。它们可能有助于我们识别老年高危亚人群,以便我们能够采用预防策略。