Afzal M, Kiani M F
Pak Dev Rev. 1995 Winter;34(4 Pt. II):545-61.
"The objective of this paper is to describe an indirect approach for estimating the age patterns of occurrence of birth by parity. The main concern here is not of estimating the frequency of occurrence of births (in a period of time) in relation to the population (birth rate) or in relation to the number of females (fertility). Rather, the focus here is on the ages of first, second, and subsequent births, and on their shifts over time. Essentially, the approach is an extension of Hajnal's method for using proportions single to estimate singulate mean age at marriage...." The approach is illustrated using data from the 1975 Pakistan Fertility Survey and the 1990-1991 Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey. A comment by Sultan S. Hashmi is included (pp. 560-1).
本文的目的是描述一种间接方法,用于估计按胎次划分的生育年龄模式。这里主要关注的不是估计(在一段时间内)与人口相关的出生频率(出生率)或与女性数量相关的出生频率(生育率)。相反,这里关注的是初育、二胎及后续生育的年龄,以及它们随时间的变化。从本质上讲,该方法是哈伊纳尔利用单一比例估计平均初婚年龄方法的扩展……使用1975年巴基斯坦生育调查和1990 - 1991年巴基斯坦人口与健康调查的数据对该方法进行了说明。文中还收录了苏丹·S·哈希米的评论(第560 - 561页)。