Ledent J, Rogers A
Math Popul Stud. 1988;1(2):157-71, 207. doi: 10.1080/08898488809525269.
"Users of multistate life tables and projections have recognized that the Markovian assumptions underlying such models are unduly restrictive and should be relaxed whenever data permit. Efforts to include the influences of previous occupancies have included the incorporation of place-of-birth dependence. This paper addresses the stable growth properties of such generalized multistate models. It shows how place-of-birth-specific stable growth measures can be calculated without projection simply by solving the characteristic equation. An example using Canadian data illustrates the argument." (SUMMARY IN FRE)
多状态生命表和预测的使用者已经认识到,此类模型所依据的马尔可夫假设限制过多,只要数据允许就应予以放宽。纳入先前居住情况影响的努力包括纳入出生地依赖性。本文探讨此类广义多状态模型的稳定增长特性。它展示了如何通过求解特征方程,无需进行预测即可计算出特定出生地的稳定增长指标。一个使用加拿大数据的例子说明了这一论点。 (法语摘要)