Srinivasan T N
J Quant Econ. 1988 Jan;4(1):11-7.
The impact on fertility of parents' desire to have children in order to provide support in old age is analyzed. "Two alternatives are compared with respect to their fertility outcome; one in which a parent in his old age receives a customary contribution from each of his children and another in which the society allocates the output produced by working young among the young and non-working old for their consumption. It is shown that there is no theoretical support for the view that old age security motive necessarily leads to higher fertility than socially optimal.... It is [also] shown that under certain assumptions about the shape of parental preferences over consumption in their working and retired life, exogenous changes in infant mortality will have no impact on fertility."
分析了父母为养老而生育子女的意愿对生育力的影响。“就生育结果而言，比较了两种选择；一种是父母年老时从每个子女那里获得传统的供养，另一种是社会将年轻劳动者生产的产出在年轻人和非劳动的老年人之间进行分配以供他们消费。结果表明，认为养老保障动机必然导致生育率高于社会最优水平这一观点没有理论依据……[还]表明，在关于父母在工作和退休生活中对消费偏好形状的某些假设下，婴儿死亡率的外生变化对生育率没有影响。”
