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为何高水平的净移民会给失业和外债稳定带来问题。

Why high levels of net migration present problems for unemployment and external debt stabilisation.

作者信息

Mitchell W

出版信息

People Place. 1996;4(1):40-5.

Abstract

"Unemployment [in Australia] is affected by two factors: increases in the productivity of labour and increases in its supply. Both of these factors could, in principle, be offset by strong economic growth. But, if the economy grows fast enough to accommodate both productivity gains and the addition of migrants to the labour force, it will draw in more imports and the balance of trade will deteriorate. Economic growth of around two per cent per annum may be all that we can sustain without increasing our foreign debt. This level of economic growth is not enough to reduce unemployment in the face of any net immigration (or any growth in labour productivity)."

摘要

(澳大利亚的)失业受两个因素影响:劳动生产率的提高和劳动力供给的增加。原则上,这两个因素都可以被强劲的经济增长所抵消。但是,如果经济增长足够快,既能适应生产率的提高,又能吸纳新增移民进入劳动力市场,那么它将吸引更多进口,贸易平衡将恶化。每年约2%的经济增长可能是我们在不增加外债的情况下所能维持的全部水平。面对任何净移民(或劳动生产率的任何增长),这样的经济增长水平不足以降低失业率。

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