Amacher G S, Cruz W, Grebner D, Hyde W F
Land Econ. 1998 Feb;74(1):92-101.
"This paper uses a multinomial discrete choice model and data from the Philippines to examine migrant choice between alternative destinations. Travel costs and perceived opportunities at the upland frontier are more important than general (upland plus lowland) destination attributes that indicate more developed social infrastructure or greater expected welfare. For example, migration streams are larger to destinations where the public share of forestland and the road system are larger. These features also characterize regions of more rapid deforestation. Therefore, emigration policies must recognize their effects on deforestation at the frontier--and their anticipated indirect effects on downstream environments."
本文使用多项离散选择模型和来自菲律宾的数据,研究移民在不同目的地之间的选择。高地边境地区的旅行成本和感知到的机会,比那些表明社会基础设施更发达或预期福利更高的一般(高地加低地)目的地属性更为重要。例如,向林地公共份额和道路系统更大的目的地的移民流更大。这些特征也表征了森林砍伐更快的地区。因此,移民政策必须认识到它们对边境地区森林砍伐的影响,以及它们对下游环境的预期间接影响。