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生育率与经济发展:理论思考与跨国证据

Fertility and economic development: theoretical considerations and cross-country evidence.

作者信息

Panopoulou G, Tsakloglou P

出版信息

Appl Econ. 1999 Nov;31(11):1337-51. doi: 10.1080/000368499323229.

Abstract

The paper presents a theoretical background for the analysis of the relationship between fertility and a number of socioeconomic factors associated with the process of economic development and analyses empirically this relationship within a cross-country framework. Fertility is found to be negatively related with female education, urbanization, and family planning and positively related with the levels of infant mortality and economic development, whereas no significant relationship between fertility and female labor force participation is established. Sensitivity analysis is performed and the policy implications of the empirical findings are briefly discussed.

摘要

本文提出了一个理论背景,用于分析生育率与一些与经济发展过程相关的社会经济因素之间的关系,并在跨国框架内对这种关系进行了实证分析。研究发现,生育率与女性教育、城市化和计划生育呈负相关,与婴儿死亡率和经济发展水平呈正相关,而生育率与女性劳动力参与率之间未发现显著关系。进行了敏感性分析,并简要讨论了实证结果的政策含义。

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