Boots B N, Kanaroglou P S
J Reg Sci. 1988 Nov;28(4):495-509. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9787.1988.tb01370.x.
Discrete-choice theory and logit models are evaluated for their usefulness in analyzing migration patterns in a zonal system. The authors "argue that spatial effects and more specifically the relative location of zones are not taken into account in such analyses. We, therefore, introduce a measure of spatial structure and advocate its usage as a predictor of migration in such models. In an example of intrametropolitan migration in Toronto [Canada], we demonstrate that this variable is not only significant but also it improves the performance of all the other variables with the greatest impact on the distance between zones. In addition, inclusion of this variable improves the overall performance of the model in terms of residuals."
本文评估了离散选择理论和逻辑模型在分析区域系统中人口迁移模式方面的实用性。作者认为，此类分析未考虑空间效应，更具体地说，未考虑各区域的相对位置。因此，我们引入了一种空间结构度量，并主张将其用作此类模型中人口迁移的预测指标。在加拿大多伦多市市内迁移的一个例子中，我们证明该变量不仅具有显著性，而且还提高了所有其他对区域间距离影响最大的变量的性能。此外，纳入该变量在残差方面提高了模型的整体性能。
