Fucaraccio A
Notas Poblacion. 1989 Dec;17(48):81-96.
In infant mortality estimates, using the Coale-Trussell procedure with information from 2 successive population censuses of a country, reveals differences in the levels for the overlapping years of periods. This paper deal with this problem using the 1974 and 1982 censuses of Ecuador. The contribution of his analysis consists in demonstrating that infant mortality in a given year--estimated from a specific age group--is a weighted average between zero mortality--women declaring no deaths among their children and mortality with a value different from zero--women declaring some child dead. The weighing values are the age structure of women according to the condition of having dead children and corrected by the mean parity of the corresponding age group. Looking at the structure--women with or without dead children--of both censuses, a strong increase in the proportion of women without dead children occurred in 1982 as compared with the proportion in 1974. In order to eliminate this lack of comparability a reweighing was introduced in the 1982 information. New estimates were obtained, and these are much closer to the estimates obtained from the 1974 census.
在婴儿死亡率估计中,运用科尔-特鲁塞尔方法并结合一个国家连续两次人口普查的信息,会发现不同时期重叠年份的水平存在差异。本文利用厄瓜多尔1974年和1982年的人口普查数据来处理这一问题。该分析的贡献在于表明,特定年份的婴儿死亡率(根据特定年龄组估算)是零死亡率(宣称子女无死亡的女性)和非零死亡率(宣称有子女死亡的女性)之间的加权平均值。权重值是根据子女死亡情况划分的女性年龄结构,并通过相应年龄组的平均胎次进行校正。观察两次人口普查中(有或没有子女死亡的)女性结构,与1974年的比例相比,1982年无子女死亡的女性比例大幅增加。为了消除这种缺乏可比性的情况,对1982年的信息进行了重新加权。获得了新的估计值,这些值与从1974年人口普查中获得的估计值更为接近。