Franz W, Oser U, Winker P
J Popul Econ. 1994;7(2):217-34. doi: 10.1007/BF00173620.
"This paper attempts to evaluate the impact of current and future immigration flows on major macroeconomic variables of the West German economy. The analysis is based on a macroeconometric disequilibrium model for the West German economy. This model is extended until 1995 and used for several simulation experiments. Special attention is given to the notion that the effects of immigration are regime-specific, i.e., they depend on the type of disequilibrium prevailing on the goods and labor market."
本文试图评估当前及未来移民潮对西德经济主要宏观经济变量的影响。该分析基于一个针对西德经济的宏观计量不均衡模型。此模型被扩展至1995年，并用于多项模拟实验。特别关注的一点是，移民的影响因经济状况而异，即它们取决于商品市场和劳动力市场上普遍存在的不均衡类型。
