Van Poppel F
Hist Fam. 1997;2(1):49-72. doi: 10.1016/s1081-602x(97)90010-5.
This is an analysis of divorce trends in the Netherlands in the second half of the nineteenth century. "Use was made of a case-control research design in which the social characteristics of all marriages which ended in divorce were compared with those of a random sample from the marriages which ended in widowhood. The author analyzed a group of 2,300 marriages contracted in The Hague from their inception until their dissolution by death or divorce. All migrants were followed to their new place of residence. Multivariate (proportional hazards) analysis showed that the highest probability of divorce was found among persons who had already gone through a divorce before. Other factors related to divorce were high mobility, low ages at marriage, and large age and religious differences between spouses. Higher social classes had relatively high divorce risks."
这是对19世纪下半叶荷兰离婚趋势的一项分析。“采用了病例对照研究设计,将所有以离婚告终的婚姻的社会特征与从以丧偶告终的婚姻中随机抽取的样本的社会特征进行比较。作者分析了在海牙缔结的2300桩婚姻,从其缔结直到因死亡或离婚而解体。所有移民都被追踪到他们的新居住地。多变量(比例风险)分析表明,在之前已经历过一次离婚的人群中,离婚概率最高。与离婚相关的其他因素包括高流动性、低结婚年龄以及配偶之间较大的年龄和宗教差异。较高社会阶层的离婚风险相对较高。”