Husum Hans, Strada Gino
Tromsoe Mine Victim Resource Center (TMC), University Hospital of Northern Norway, Norway.
Prehosp Disaster Med. 2002 Jan-Mar;17(1):27-32. doi: 10.1017/s1049023x0000008x.
INTRODUCTION: The New Injury Severity Score (NISS) was introduced in 1997 to improve outcome prediction based on anatomical severity scoring in trauma victims. Studies on populations of blunt trauma victims indicate that the NISS, predicts better than the Injury Severity Score (ISS) mortality post-injury, which is why the NISS has been recommended as the new "gold standard" for severity scoring. However, so far the accuracy of the NISS for penetrating injuries has not been validated against the ISS. METHODS: ISS and NISS scores were collected retrospectively for 1,787 war- and landmine victims in North Iraq. All victims only had penetrating injuries. The two tests were compared for prediction of short-term mortality and post-operative complications using Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) analysis. RESULTS: Both the ISS and the NISS predicted mortality with high accuracy (ROC area under curve 0.9). There were no significant differences between the two tests. The predictive accuracy for post-operative complications was moderate for both tests (ROC-AUC < 0.8), with the NISS performing significantly better than the ISS. CONCLUSION: The NISS does not perform better than the ISS in penetrating injuries. However, this study was done on a low-risk trauma population, thus the results should not be extrapolated to high severity trauma. Due to statistical shortcomings in studies previously published, studies on far larger cohorts are necessary before the NISS should be adopted as the new "gold standard" for severity scoring.
引言:新损伤严重度评分(NISS)于1997年推出,旨在基于创伤受害者的解剖学严重程度评分改进预后预测。对钝性创伤受害者群体的研究表明,NISS在预测损伤后死亡率方面比损伤严重度评分(ISS)表现更好,这就是NISS被推荐作为严重程度评分新“金标准”的原因。然而,到目前为止,NISS在穿透伤方面的准确性尚未与ISS进行验证。 方法:回顾性收集了伊拉克北部1787名战争和地雷受害者的ISS和NISS评分。所有受害者均只有穿透伤。使用受试者工作特征(ROC)分析比较了这两种测试对短期死亡率和术后并发症的预测情况。 结果:ISS和NISS对死亡率的预测都具有很高的准确性(曲线下ROC面积为0.9)。两种测试之间没有显著差异。两种测试对术后并发症的预测准确性都处于中等水平(ROC-AUC<0.8),其中NISS的表现明显优于ISS。 结论:在穿透伤方面,NISS的表现并不优于ISS。然而,本研究是在低风险创伤人群中进行的,因此结果不应外推到高严重度创伤。由于先前发表的研究存在统计学缺陷,在将NISS采纳为严重程度评分的新“金标准”之前,有必要对更大的队列进行研究。
Prehosp Disaster Med. 2002
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