Hill Catherine L, LaValley Michael P, Felson David T
Clinical Epidemiology Research and Training Unit, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center, MA, USA.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2002 Aug;55(8):783-6. doi: 10.1016/s0895-4356(02)00440-7.
Randomized clinical trial (RCT) publications with inappropriate random-sequence generation, lack of allocation concealment, or imperfect blinding yield inflated estimates of effect compared to those in which adequate methods are described. RCTs that do not state methods used yield similar effect estimates, suggesting that inadequate methods were used. We compared RCT publications with investigator reports of actual practice for 40 rheumatology RCTs published in 1997/1998. In RCTs in which these methods were not described in the trial reports and would thus have been characterized as "inadequate," investigators reported using methods of random-sequence generation and allocation concealment that would be considered adequate in 77.4 and 78.1% of RCTs, respectively. This suggests that, in contrast to previous reports, inadequate random-sequence generation and allocation concealment, per se, may not be a major problem in RCTs. Characterizing RCTs as "good" or "poor" quality based on the published report is likely to be inappropriate.
与那些描述了充分方法的随机对照试验(RCT)相比,随机序列生成不当、缺乏分配隐藏或盲法不完善的RCT出版物对疗效的估计值会偏高。未说明所使用方法的RCT产生的疗效估计值相似,这表明使用了不充分的方法。我们将1997/1998年发表的40项风湿病RCT的出版物与研究者关于实际操作的报告进行了比较。在试验报告中未描述这些方法、因此被归类为“不充分”的RCT中,研究者报告称分别有77.4%和78.1%的RCT使用了被认为充分的随机序列生成和分配隐藏方法。这表明,与之前的报告相反,随机序列生成和分配隐藏本身可能并不是RCT中的主要问题。根据已发表的报告将RCT定性为“高质量”或“低质量”可能并不合适。