Yitian Li, Gu Roy R
The Key Laboratory of Water and Sediment Sciences of Ministry of Education of China, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China, 430072.
Environ Manage. 2003 Jan;31(1):122-34. doi: 10.1007/s00267-002-2862-9.
A river system is a network of intertwining channels and tributaries, where interacting flow and sediment transport processes are complex and floods may frequently occur. In water resources management of a complex system of rivers, it is important that instream discharges and sediments being carried by streamflow are correctly predicted. In this study, a model for predicting flow and sediment transport in a river system is developed by incorporating flow and sediment mass conservation equations into an artificial neural network (ANN), using actual river network to design the ANN architecture, and expanding hydrological applications of the ANN modeling technique to sediment yield predictions. The ANN river system model is applied to modeling daily discharges and annual sediment discharges in the Jingjiang reach of the Yangtze River and Dongting Lake, China. By the comparison of calculated and observed data, it is demonstrated that the ANN technique is a powerful tool for real-time prediction of flow and sediment transport in a complex network of rivers. A significant advantage of applying the ANN technique to model flow and sediment phenomena is the minimum data requirements for topographical and morphometric information without significant loss of model accuracy. The methodology and results presented show that it is possible to integrate fundamental physical principles into a data-driven modeling technique and to use a natural system for ANN construction. This approach may increase model performance and interpretability while at the same time making the model more understandable to the engineering community.
河流水系是由相互交织的河道和支流组成的网络,其中相互作用的水流和泥沙输移过程十分复杂,洪水可能频繁发生。在复杂河流水系的水资源管理中,准确预测河道流量和水流携带的泥沙量非常重要。在本研究中,通过将水流和泥沙质量守恒方程纳入人工神经网络(ANN),利用实际河网设计ANN架构,并将ANN建模技术的水文应用扩展到产沙量预测,开发了一种用于预测河流水系中水流和泥沙输移的模型。将ANN河流水系模型应用于中国长江荆江河段和洞庭湖的日流量和年输沙量建模。通过计算数据与实测数据的对比表明,ANN技术是实时预测复杂河网中水流和泥沙输移的有力工具。将ANN技术应用于水流和泥沙现象建模的一个显著优点是对地形和形态测量信息的数据要求最低,而不会显著损失模型精度。所提出的方法和结果表明,将基本物理原理集成到数据驱动的建模技术中,并利用自然系统构建ANN是可行的。这种方法可能会提高模型性能和可解释性,同时使模型对工程界更易于理解。