Claret Pablo Lardelli, Castillo Juan de Dios Luna del, Moleón José Juan Jiménez, Cavanillas Aurora Bueno, Martín Miguel García, Vargas Ramón Gálvez
Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Facultad de Farmacia, University of Granada, Campus de Cartuja s/n, 18071 Granada, Spain.
Accid Anal Prev. 2003 Mar;35(2):261-72. doi: 10.1016/s0001-4575(02)00004-0.
This retrospective, paired case-control study was designed to estimate crude and adjusted effects of age and sex on the risk of causing collisions between vehicles with four or more wheels in Spain during the period from 1990 to 1999. We selected all 220284 collisions registered from 1990 to 1999 in the Spanish Dirección General de Tráfico (DGT) traffic crash database in which only one driver committed any infraction. Information was collected about age, sex and several confounding factors for both the responsible and paired-by-collision nonresponsible drivers. Crude and adjusted odds ratios (aORs) were calculated for each age and sex category. For men, the lowest risk was seen for drivers aged 25-49 years. Below the age of 35 years the crude odds ratio (cOR) was highest in the 18-24-year-old group (1.61; CI: 1.57-1.65). The risk increased significantly and exponentially after the age of 50 years, to a maximum odds ratio of 3.71 (3.43-4.00) for drivers aged >74 years. In women, the lowest risk values were found for the 25-44-year-old age group. In older women the risk increased significantly with age to a maximum odds ratio of 3.02 (2.31-3.97) in the oldest age group. aOR estimates tended to be lower than crude estimates for drivers younger than 40 years of age, but the opposite was seen for drivers 40 years old and older. Regarding sex differences, among younger drivers crude and aORs for men were higher than for women. Our results suggest that the risk of causing a collision between vehicles with four or more wheels is directly dependent on the driver's age.
这项回顾性配对病例对照研究旨在评估1990年至1999年期间,年龄和性别对西班牙四轮及以上车辆碰撞风险的粗略影响和校正影响。我们从西班牙交通总局(DGT)交通事故数据库中选取了1990年至1999年登记的所有220284起碰撞事故,其中只有一名驾驶员有违规行为。收集了责任驾驶员和按碰撞配对的无责任驾驶员的年龄、性别及若干混杂因素的信息。计算了每个年龄和性别类别的粗略比值比(cOR)和校正比值比(aOR)。对于男性,25至49岁的驾驶员风险最低。35岁以下,18至24岁组的粗略比值比最高(1.61;CI:1.57 - 1.65)。50岁以后风险显著且呈指数上升,74岁以上驾驶员的最大比值比为3.71(3.43 - 4.00)。对于女性,25至44岁年龄组的风险值最低。在老年女性中,风险随年龄显著增加,最高年龄组的最大比值比为3.02(2.31 - 3.97)。对于40岁以下的驾驶员,aOR估计值往往低于粗略估计值,但40岁及以上的驾驶员则相反。关于性别差异,在年轻驾驶员中,男性的粗略比值比和aOR高于女性。我们的结果表明,四轮及以上车辆碰撞的风险直接取决于驾驶员的年龄。