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[瑞士1880 - 1980代人的死亡率:基于纵向数据对死亡率演变的重新解读]

[Mortality of 1880-1980 generations in Switzerland: a rereading of evolution of mortality based on longitudinal data].

作者信息

Wanner Philippe

出版信息

Soz Praventivmed. 2002;47(6):399-407. doi: 10.1007/s000380200007.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Seek to explain the declining mortality rates observed in Switzerland using a different approach from conventional period analyses.

METHODS

Analysis of the mortality rates for cohorts born between 1880 and 1980 in Switzerland.

RESULTS

While the mortality transition was a constant feature of the 20th century, mortality receded most sharply among the 1900 to 1940 birth cohorts. Life expectancy gains were much lower for the pre-1900 cohorts, while early trends for the post-1940 cohorts point to a slowdown in the rate of mortality decline. These findings may be connected with the social and health conditions in which the different cohorts lived.

CONCLUSION

In contrast to the cross-sectional analysis, the longitudinal approach shows that the decline in mortality suddenly stops with the 1940 cohort.

摘要

目的

采用与传统时期分析不同的方法,试图解释瑞士观察到的死亡率下降情况。

方法

对瑞士1880年至1980年出生队列的死亡率进行分析。

结果

虽然死亡率转变是20世纪的一个持续特征,但在1900年至1940年出生队列中,死亡率下降最为显著。1900年前的队列预期寿命增长要低得多,而1940年后队列的早期趋势表明死亡率下降速度放缓。这些发现可能与不同队列所生活的社会和健康状况有关。

结论

与横断面分析不同,纵向研究方法表明,1940年队列之后死亡率下降突然停止。

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