Frankel Stephen, Smith George Davey, Donovan Jenny, Neal David
Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Canynge Hall, BS8 2PR, Bristol, UK.
Lancet. 2003 Mar 29;361(9363):1122-8. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(03)12890-5.
Epidemiologically, screening is justified by the importance of the disease and the lack of prospects for primary prevention, but evidence from natural history is unhelpful since men are more likely to die with, rather than from, prostate cancer. The available screening tests do not always detect men whose lesions could result in future morbidity or mortality. Evidence is limited for the benefits of treatment for localised cancers detected through screening, whereas the evidence for harm is clear. Observational evidence for the effect of population screening programmes is mixed, with no clear association between intensity of screening and reduced prostate cancer mortality. Screening for prostate cancer cannot be justified in low-risk populations, but the balance of benefit and harm will be more favourable after risk stratification. Prostate cancer screening can be justified only in research programmes designed to assess its effectiveness and help identify the groups who may benefit.
从流行病学角度来看,鉴于该疾病的重要性以及一级预防前景不佳,筛查是合理的。但自然史研究证据并无帮助,因为男性更有可能死于前列腺癌相关疾病,而非前列腺癌本身。现有的筛查测试并不总能检测出那些其病变可能导致未来发病或死亡的男性。关于通过筛查发现的局限性癌症的治疗益处的证据有限,而危害证据则很明确。关于人群筛查计划效果的观察性证据参差不齐,筛查强度与降低前列腺癌死亡率之间没有明确关联。在低风险人群中,前列腺癌筛查不合理,但在进行风险分层后,利弊平衡将更为有利。只有在旨在评估其有效性并帮助确定可能受益群体的研究项目中,前列腺癌筛查才是合理的。