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奥地利的前列腺癌与前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)筛查

Prostate cancer and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening in Austria.

作者信息

Vutuc Christian, Schernhammer Eva S, Haidinger Gerald, Waldhör Thomas

机构信息

Division of Epidemiology, Centre of Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.

出版信息

Wien Klin Wochenschr. 2005 Jul;117(13-14):457-61. doi: 10.1007/s00508-005-0395-y.

Abstract

The possible effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing on prostate cancer mortality has remained controversial, despite the test's widespread application. We examined age-specific mortality trends for prostate cancer in Austria before and after the introduction of (opportunistic) PSA testing, to ask whether PSA screening reduces prostate cancer mortality in a uniform cohort of men with equal access to health care. Prostate cancer mortality data covering all 9 federal states of Austria were analysed from 1970 to 2002. PSA testing became widely available in Austria not before 1989. Tyrol, one of the nine federal states of Austria, independently launched a mass prostate cancer prevention project in 1993. We applied join-point regression models to identify changes in the slope of age-specific mortality trends in selected age groups (50-59, 60-69, 70-79, and 80-89 years) and calculated the annual percent change (APC) in mortality between 1970 and 2002 for Tyrol and the rest of Austria separately. After 12 years of follow-up, we were not able to observe a significant reduction in prostate cancer mortality since the introduction of the PSA test in the age groups of 50-59, 60-69, and 80-89 years. A significant decrease was found in the age group of 70-79 (Austria without Tyrol 1989 through 2002: APC, -2.36; 95% CI, -3.38 to -1.34; Tyrol 1991 through 2002: APC, -6.42; 95% CI, -8.92 to -3.86). In this age group the join points 1989 and 1991 cannot be related to PSA testing. PSA screening does not appear to reduce prostate cancer mortality in a uniform cohort of men with equal access to health care. However, given the long lead-time for prostate cancer, even longer follow-up may still be needed to detect any important trends.

摘要

尽管前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)检测已广泛应用,但其对前列腺癌死亡率的潜在影响仍存在争议。我们研究了在奥地利引入(机会性)PSA检测前后,前列腺癌按年龄划分的死亡率趋势,以探讨PSA筛查是否能在医疗保健机会均等的同一男性队列中降低前列腺癌死亡率。分析了1970年至2002年奥地利所有9个联邦州的前列腺癌死亡率数据。PSA检测在奥地利直到1989年才广泛可用。奥地利9个联邦州之一的蒂罗尔州于1993年独立启动了一项大规模前列腺癌预防项目。我们应用连接点回归模型来确定选定年龄组(50 - 59岁、60 - 69岁、70 - 79岁和80 - 89岁)中按年龄划分的死亡率趋势斜率的变化,并分别计算了1970年至2002年蒂罗尔州和奥地利其他地区死亡率的年度变化百分比(APC)。经过12年的随访,我们未能观察到在50 - 59岁、60 - 69岁和80 - 89岁年龄组引入PSA检测后前列腺癌死亡率有显著降低。在70 - 79岁年龄组中发现了显著下降(奥地利不含蒂罗尔州,1989年至2002年:APC,-2.36;95%置信区间,-3.38至-1.34;蒂罗尔州,1991年至2002年:APC,-6.42;95%置信区间,-8.92至-3.86)。在这个年龄组中,1989年和1991年的连接点与PSA检测无关。PSA筛查似乎并不能在医疗保健机会均等的同一男性队列中降低前列腺癌死亡率。然而,鉴于前列腺癌的潜伏期较长,可能仍需要更长时间的随访来发现任何重要趋势。

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