Clinical, exercise electrocardiographic, and pharmacologic stress echocardiographic findings for risk stratification of hypertensive patients with chest pain.

Exercise electrocardiography (ECG) is of limited usefulness in hypertensive patients, whereas pharmacologic stress echocardiography can provide diagnostic and prognostic information. The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic value of clinical data, exercise ECG, and pharmacologic stress echocardiography in hypertensive patients with chest pain and to identify the best strategy for their risk stratification. Three hundred sixty-seven hypertensive patients (189 men, age 61 +/- 9 years) with chest pain of unknown origin underwent exercise ECG and pharmacologic stress echocardiography (237 with dipyridamole and 130 with dobutamine) and were followed up for 31 +/- 24 months. Positive exercise ECG (ST-segment shift of > or =1 mm at 80 ms after the J point) and stress echocardiography (new wall motion abnormalities) were found in 130 (35%) and 86 (23%) patients, respectively. During follow-up, there were 13 deaths and 16 myocardial infarctions. Additionally, 43 patients underwent coronary revascularization and were censored accordingly. Of 12 clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic variables analyzed, a positive result of stress echocardiography was the only multivariate predictor of either death (hazard ratio [HR] 4.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.5 to 14.5, p = 0.007) or hard events (death, myocardial infarction) (HR 4.1, 95% CI 1.8 to 9.3, p = 0.0009). Using an interactive stepwise procedure, stress echocardiography provided additional prognostic information to clinical evaluation and exercise ECG. However, the negative predictive value of the 2 tests was similarly (p = NS) high in assessing 4-year event-free survival. In conclusion, a negative exercise electrocardiographic test identifies low-risk hypertensive patients with chest pain and should be the first-line approach for risk stratification. In contrast, positive exercise ECG is unable to distinguish between patients with different levels of risk. In this case, stress echocardiography provides strong and incremental prognostic power over clinical and exercise electrocardiographic data.