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吸烟作为癌症死亡率与县平均氡水平的生态相关性中的一个混杂因素。

Smoking as a confounder in ecologic correlations of cancer mortality rates with average county radon levels.

作者信息

Puskin J S

机构信息

Office of Radiation and Indoor Air, U.S. EPA, Washington, DC 20460, USA.

出版信息

Health Phys. 2003 Apr;84(4):526-32. doi: 10.1097/00004032-200304000-00012.

Abstract

Cohen has reported a negative correlation between lung cancer mortality and average radon levels by county. In this paper, the correlation of U.S. county mortality rates for various types of cancers during the period 1970-1994 with Cohen's radon measurements is examined. In general, quantitatively similar, strongly negative correlations are found for cancers strongly linked to cigarette smoking, weaker negative correlations are found for cancers moderately increased by smoking, whereas no such correlation is found for cancers not linked to smoking. The results indicate that the negative trend previously reported for lung cancer can be largely accounted for by a negative correlation between smoking and radon levels across counties. Hence, the observed ecological correlation provides no substantial evidence for a protective effect of low level radon exposure.

摘要

科恩报告称,肺癌死亡率与各县平均氡水平之间存在负相关。本文研究了1970年至1994年期间美国各县各类癌症死亡率与科恩的氡测量值之间的相关性。一般来说,与吸烟密切相关的癌症呈现出数量上相似的强负相关,吸烟适度增加的癌症呈现较弱的负相关,而与吸烟无关的癌症则未发现此类相关性。结果表明,先前报道的肺癌负趋势在很大程度上可归因于各县吸烟与氡水平之间的负相关。因此,观察到的生态相关性并未提供低水平氡暴露具有保护作用的实质性证据。

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