Rizzo Michael, Scheff Peter A, Kaldy William
Region 5, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
J Air Waste Manag Assoc. 2003 May;53(5):596-607. doi: 10.1080/10473289.2003.10466196.
Continuous monitoring of particulate matter (PM) with a diameter less than 2.5 microm (PM2.5) is quickly gaining acceptance as an alternative means of measuring fine PM in the United States. For this project, data were taken from all monitoring sites within Region 5 that used the tapered element oscillating microbalance (TEOM) for PM2.5 and had a collocated Federal Reference Method (FRM) monitor. Scatter plots of TEOM versus FRM show that for a significant fraction of the observations, an independent factor causes the TEOM to underestimate the FRM value. This underestimation appears to increase as temperature decreases. For this analysis, a linear relationship was fit to the TEOM versus FRM data, allowing a break or knot in the relationship, modeled as a change of slope, at a site-specific temperature. To test whether the models are adequate for adjusting future measurements, models were also developed using the first year of data only, and the remaining observations were used to test the durability of the relationships. For all but one monitor in Minnesota, the models developed for each site had consistently high R2s, were predictive of future measurements, and could be used to derive "FRM-like" results from the TEOM measurements. The temperature knots fitted by the model for individual sites ranged from 12.9 to 20.6 degrees C. Data from all six sites in the state of Michigan were also combined to determine if a single model could be developed for the entire state. While the single model for the state of Michigan worked reasonably well, some of the predicted concentrations at individual sites were systematically underestimating the observed concentrations on more polluted days. The same conclusion was drawn for a Region 5-wide model. This approach was also found to work very well for six individual TEOM monitors in New York State.
在美国,对直径小于2.5微米的颗粒物(PM2.5)进行连续监测正迅速成为测量细颗粒物的一种替代方法并获得认可。对于本项目,数据取自第5区域内所有使用锥形元件振荡微天平(TEOM)监测PM2.5且配有联邦参考方法(FRM)监测仪的监测站点。TEOM与FRM的散点图表明,在很大一部分观测值中,一个独立因素导致TEOM低估了FRM值。这种低估似乎随着温度降低而增加。对于此分析,对TEOM与FRM数据拟合了线性关系,允许在特定站点温度下关系中存在断点或节点,将其建模为斜率变化。为了测试这些模型是否足以调整未来测量值,还仅使用第一年的数据开发了模型,并使用其余观测值来测试关系的耐久性。对于明尼苏达州除一个监测仪外的所有监测仪,为每个站点开发的模型具有始终较高的R2值,能够预测未来测量值,并且可用于从TEOM测量值中得出“类似FRM”的结果。模型为各个站点拟合的温度节点范围为12.9至20.6摄氏度。还合并了密歇根州所有六个站点的数据,以确定是否可以为整个州开发一个单一模型。虽然密歇根州的单一模型运行得相当不错,但在污染更严重的日子里某些站点的预测浓度系统性地低估了观测浓度。对于第5区域范围的模型也得出了相同结论。还发现这种方法对于纽约州的六个单独的TEOM监测仪也非常有效。