Rosati P, Exacoustós C, Caruso A, Mancuso S
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.
Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol. 1992 Jan 1;2(1):23-9. doi: 10.1046/j.1469-0705.1992.02010023.x.
Macrosomic infants and their mothers are at increased risk for intrapartum injury and perinatal morbidity and mortality. This study investigates the effectiveness of individual ultrasound fetal measurements, ponderal indices and estimated fetal weight in the identification of macrosomia in 732 pregnant patients who underwent ultrasound examination within 7 days of delivery. All the indices evaluated were compared for accuracy in predicting birth weight. Statistical comparison revealed that estimated fetal weight predicted macrosomia better than single ultrasound parameters and ponderal indices. The formulae tested yielded an accuracy of 94% and a positive predictive value of 90%. Abdominal diameter and abdominal circumference values above the 90th centile correctly predicted macrosomia in 82% and 72% of cases, respectively. Fetal length showed a sensitivity of 61% with a predictive positive test of 41%. Femur length-to-abdominal circumference ratio detected macrosomia with a sensitivity of 80% and an accuracy of 82%. The other single ultrasound parameters and ponderal indices were significantly less indicative of macrosomia. The combined use of four indices (growth profile) did not improve the effectiveness of ultrasound in detecting fetal macrosomia. We conclude that the optimal prediction of fetal macrosomia is obtained from mathematical formulae for fetal weight estimation, based on several fetal measurement parameters and adjusted for different gestational periods.
巨大儿及其母亲在分娩时受伤以及围产期发病和死亡的风险增加。本研究调查了在分娩前7天内接受超声检查的732例孕妇中,单独的超声胎儿测量、 ponderal指数和估计胎儿体重在识别巨大儿方面的有效性。对所有评估的指标进行了预测出生体重准确性的比较。统计比较显示,估计胎儿体重预测巨大儿的效果优于单一超声参数和ponderal指数。所测试的公式准确率为94%,阳性预测值为90%。第90百分位数以上的腹径和腹围值分别在82%和72%的病例中正确预测了巨大儿。胎儿长度的敏感性为61%,阳性预测试验为41%。股骨长度与腹围比值检测巨大儿的敏感性为80%,准确率为82%。其他单一超声参数和ponderal指数对巨大儿的指示性明显较低。四个指标(生长曲线)的联合使用并未提高超声检测胎儿巨大儿的有效性。我们得出结论,基于多个胎儿测量参数并针对不同孕周进行调整的胎儿体重估计数学公式可实现对胎儿巨大儿的最佳预测。