Hopkins Paul N, Polukoff Gerald I
Cardiology Division, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, USA.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2003 Jun 11;3:5. doi: 10.1186/1471-2261-3-5.
Estimates of excess risk of valvular heart disease among prior users of fenfluramine and dexfenfluramine have varied widely. Two major forms of bias appear to contribute to this variability and also result in a systematic under-estimation of risk. The first, a form of nondifferential misclassification, is the result of including background, prevalent cases among both exposed and unexposed persons in calculations of risk. The second bias results from not considering the relatively short duration of exposure to drugs.
We examined data from all available echocardiographic studies reporting the prevalence of aortic regurgitation (AR) and mitral regurgitation (MR) among persons exposed to fenfluramine or dexfenfluramine and a suitable control group. We also included one study in which previously existing AR or MR had been excluded. We corrected for background prevalent cases, estimated incidence rates in unexposed persons, and performed a person-years analysis of apparent incidence rates based on exposure time to provide an unbiased estimate of relative risk.
Appearance of new AR was strongly related to duration of exposure (R2 = 0.75, p < 0.0001). The summary relative risk for mild or greater AR was 19.6 (95% CI 16.3-23.5, p < 0.00001); for moderate or greater MR it was 5.9 (95% CI 4.0-8.6, p < 0.00001).
These findings provide strong support for the view that fenfluramine and dexfenfluramine are potent causal factors in the development of both aortic and mitral valvular heart disease.
曾使用芬氟拉明和右芬氟拉明的人群中,心脏瓣膜病超额风险的估计值差异很大。两种主要的偏倚形式似乎导致了这种变异性,并且还导致风险被系统性低估。第一种是一种无差异错误分类,是在风险计算中纳入暴露组和非暴露组中的背景病例和现患病例的结果。第二种偏倚是由于未考虑药物暴露的相对较短持续时间所致。
我们检查了所有可用的超声心动图研究数据,这些研究报告了暴露于芬氟拉明或右芬氟拉明的人群以及合适对照组中主动脉反流(AR)和二尖瓣反流(MR)的患病率。我们还纳入了一项排除了既往存在的AR或MR的研究。我们校正了背景现患病例,估计了未暴露人群的发病率,并基于暴露时间对明显发病率进行人年分析,以提供相对风险的无偏估计。
新出现的AR与暴露持续时间密切相关(R2 = 0.75,p < 0.0001)。轻度或更严重AR的汇总相对风险为19.6(95%可信区间16.3 - 23.5,p < 0.00001);中度或更严重MR的汇总相对风险为5.9(95%可信区间4.0 - 8.6,p < 0.00001)。
这些发现为以下观点提供了有力支持,即芬氟拉明和右芬氟拉明是主动脉和二尖瓣心脏瓣膜病发生的重要病因。