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铅研究中的因果推断:环境铅对神经行为影响专题介绍

Causal inference in lead research: introduction to the special section on the neurobehavioral effects of environmental lead.

作者信息

Ris M Douglas

机构信息

Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH 45229, USA.

出版信息

Child Neuropsychol. 2003 Mar;9(1):1-9. doi: 10.1076/chin.9.1.1.14500.

Abstract

This Special Section on the Neurobehavioral Effects of Environmental Lead includes empirical reports from three major longitudinal prospective studies and a review of animal research modeling effects of lead on human cognition. This Introductory article addresses a fundamental controversy in lead and other epidemiologic research. It is argued that, contrary to conventional wisdom, valid causal inferences can be made from correlational research. Justification for this is to be found in contemporary frameworks drawn from the field of the philosophy of science; an essential, but often neglected perspective for such metatheoretical issues as causal inference. It is concluded that the nonexperimental methods described in the articles comprising this Special Section can, indeed, contribute to causal formulations of lead effects on human development, and that such inferences are not exclusive to experimental evidence.

摘要

这个关于环境铅暴露的神经行为效应的特刊包括三项主要纵向前瞻性研究的实证报告,以及对铅对人类认知影响的动物研究模型的综述。这篇介绍性文章探讨了铅及其他流行病学研究中的一个基本争议。有人认为,与传统观念相反,相关研究可以得出有效的因果推论。对此的理由可以在科学哲学领域的当代框架中找到;这是因果推论等元理论问题的一个基本但经常被忽视的视角。得出的结论是,本特刊所包含文章中描述的非实验方法确实可以有助于对铅对人类发育影响的因果表述,而且这种推论并非实验证据所独有。

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