Mitchell James K
Department of Geography, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08854-8045, USA.
Risk Anal. 2003 Jun;23(3):567-74. doi: 10.1111/1539-6924.00337.
Whereas the verdict is undecided about the effects of global warming on Europe's flood risks, it is clear that Europeans are becoming more exposed and vulnerable to floods. Losses are increasing dramatically, mainly because of population and capital moving into harm's way and also because of human-driven transformations of hydrological systems, including river basins and floodplains.
虽然关于全球变暖对欧洲洪水风险的影响尚无定论,但很明显欧洲人正越来越容易遭受洪水侵害且更加脆弱。损失正急剧增加,主要是因为人口和资本向危险地带迁移,也因为包括流域和洪泛区在内的水文系统受到人为驱动的改变。