Shearer Arran, Scuffham Paul, Gordois Adam, Oglesby Alan
York Health Economics Consortium, University of York, York, UK.
Diabetes Care. 2003 Aug;26(8):2305-10. doi: 10.2337/diacare.26.8.2305.
The ability to perceive vibration (vibration detection) has been shown to be a good predictor of the long-term complications of diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN). We aimed to estimate the predicted complications and costs for the U.S. health care system associated with reduced vibration detection (vibration perception threshold >or=25 V), estimated using a quantitative sensory testing device.
A Markov model was constructed for a hypothetical cohort of people with DPN. The model was run over a 10-year period using Monte Carlo simulations to estimate disease progression, predicted costs, and complications according to vibration detection levels.
The average individual with reduced vibration detection incurs approximately five times more direct medical costs for foot ulcer and amputations, yields 0.18 fewer quality-adjusted life-years, and lives for approximately 2 months less than an average individual with normal vibration detection.
The treatment of foot ulceration and amputation is time-consuming and expensive. If individuals with reduced vibration detection could be identified, then preventative care could be concentrated on those patients, potentially saving valuable resources and improving health outcomes.
已证明感知振动的能力(振动检测)是糖尿病周围神经病变(DPN)长期并发症的良好预测指标。我们旨在估计与使用定量感觉测试设备估计的振动检测降低(振动感觉阈值≥25V)相关的美国医疗保健系统的预测并发症和成本。
为一个假设的DPN人群队列构建了一个马尔可夫模型。该模型使用蒙特卡罗模拟运行10年,以根据振动检测水平估计疾病进展、预测成本和并发症。
与振动检测正常的个体相比,振动检测降低的个体平均因足部溃疡和截肢产生的直接医疗成本高出约五倍,质量调整生命年减少0.18,寿命缩短约2个月。
足部溃疡和截肢的治疗既耗时又昂贵。如果能够识别出振动检测降低的个体,那么预防性护理就可以集中在这些患者身上,这可能会节省宝贵的资源并改善健康结果。