Hughes T P, Baird A H, Bellwood D R, Card M, Connolly S R, Folke C, Grosberg R, Hoegh-Guldberg O, Jackson J B C, Kleypas J, Lough J M, Marshall P, Nyström M, Palumbi S R, Pandolfi J M, Rosen B, Roughgarden J
Centre for Coral Reef Biodiversity, James Cook University, Townsville, Qld 4811, Australia.
Science. 2003 Aug 15;301(5635):929-33. doi: 10.1126/science.1085046.
The diversity, frequency, and scale of human impacts on coral reefs are increasing to the extent that reefs are threatened globally. Projected increases in carbon dioxide and temperature over the next 50 years exceed the conditions under which coral reefs have flourished over the past half-million years. However, reefs will change rather than disappear entirely, with some species already showing far greater tolerance to climate change and coral bleaching than others. International integration of management strategies that support reef resilience need to be vigorously implemented, and complemented by strong policy decisions to reduce the rate of global warming.
人类对珊瑚礁影响的多样性、频率和规模正在不断增加,以至于全球范围内的珊瑚礁都受到了威胁。预计未来50年二氧化碳和温度的上升幅度将超过过去50万年珊瑚礁繁荣生长的条件。然而,珊瑚礁将会发生变化,而不是完全消失,一些物种已经表现出比其他物种对气候变化和珊瑚白化的耐受性要强得多。需要大力实施支持珊瑚礁恢复力的管理策略的国际整合,并辅以强有力的政策决策以降低全球变暖的速度。