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[立陶宛独立后第一个十年间人口死亡率的趋势]

[Trends in mortality of Lithuanian population throughout the first decade of Independence].

作者信息

Petrauskiene Jadvyga, Kalediene Ramune

机构信息

Department of Social Medicine, Kaunas University of Medicine, 3007 Kaunas, Lithuania.

出版信息

Medicina (Kaunas). 2003;39(8):788-96.

Abstract

The aim of the study was to assess trends in overall mortality and the impact of the major causes of death to the overall mortality changes during the different periods of 1990-2000. Data about the population and the deceased was obtained from Lithuanian Department of Statistics. Mortality rates were age-standardized. Coefficient of logarithmic regression was used for the assessment of the trends in mortality. The impact of the major causes of death to the changes in overall mortality was estimated applying the methodology of I.M. Joung (1996). Trends in mortality of Lithuanian population were not uniform throughout the period of 1990-2000. The average increase in mortality during the period of 1991-1994 reached 4.1% per year, while in 1995-2000 similar decreasing trend was observed. Statistically significant increase was noted only in the age group of 20-64, while the decline was characteristic for all other age groups. Mortality of young population was decreasing more significantly. Negative changes in mortality during the period of 1990-1994 were mainly determined by external causes of death (45.1% in males and 28.3% in females), and positive changes that occurred in 1995-2000 were determined by mortality from cardiovascular diseases (nearly 50%). The impact of cancer and respiratory diseases was significant neither for negative, nor positive changes in overall mortality.

摘要

该研究的目的是评估1990 - 2000年不同时期的总体死亡率趋势以及主要死因对总体死亡率变化的影响。有关人口和死亡人员的数据来自立陶宛统计局。死亡率进行了年龄标准化。使用对数回归系数来评估死亡率趋势。应用I.M. 荣格(1996年)的方法估计主要死因对总体死亡率变化的影响。1990 - 2000年期间立陶宛人口的死亡率趋势并不一致。1991 - 1994年期间死亡率的平均年增长率达到4.1%,而在1995 - 2000年观察到类似的下降趋势。仅在20 - 64岁年龄组中发现死亡率有统计学显著增加,而其他所有年龄组的特征是死亡率下降。年轻人口的死亡率下降更为显著。1990 - 1994年期间死亡率的负面变化主要由外部死因决定(男性为45.1%,女性为28.3%),1995 - 2000年出现的正面变化由心血管疾病死亡率决定(近50%)。癌症和呼吸系统疾病对总体死亡率的负面或正面变化影响均不显著。

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