Smith Kirk R, Mehta Sumi
Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, California 94720-7360, USA.
Int J Hyg Environ Health. 2003 Aug;206(4-5):279-89. doi: 10.1078/1438-4639-00224.
Four different methods have been applied to estimate the burden of disease due to indoor air pollution from household solid fuel use in developing countries (LDCs). The largest number of estimates involves applying exposure-response information from urban ambient air pollution studies to estimate indoor exposure concentrations of particulate air pollution. Another approach is to construct child survival curves using the results of large-scale household surveys, as has been done for India. A third approach involves cross-national analyses of child survival and household fuel use. The fourth method, referred to as the 'fuel-based' approach, which is explored in more depth here, involves applying relative risk estimates from epidemiological studies that use exposure surrogates, such as fuel type, to estimates of household solid fuel use to determine population attributable fractions by disease and age group. With this method and conservative assumptions about relative risks, 4-5 percent of the global LDC totals for both deaths and DALYs (disability adjusted life years) from acute respiratory infections, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, tuberculosis, asthma, lung cancer, ischaemic heart disease, and blindness can be attributed to solid fuel use in developing countries. Acute respiratory infections in children under five years of age are the largest single category of deaths (64%) and DALYs (81%) from indoor air pollution, apparently being responsible globally for about 1.2 million premature deaths annually in the early 1990s.
已经应用了四种不同的方法来估算发展中国家(最不发达国家)因家庭使用固体燃料造成室内空气污染导致的疾病负担。数量最多的估算方法是运用城市环境空气污染研究中的暴露-反应信息来估算室内颗粒物空气污染的暴露浓度。另一种方法是像在印度那样,利用大规模家庭调查结果构建儿童生存曲线。第三种方法涉及对儿童生存情况和家庭燃料使用情况进行跨国分析。这里将更深入探讨的第四种方法,即“基于燃料”的方法,是将使用诸如燃料类型等暴露替代指标的流行病学研究中的相对风险估计值,应用于家庭固体燃料使用的估算中,以确定按疾病和年龄组划分的人群归因分数。采用这种方法并对相对风险做出保守假设,在发展中国家,急性呼吸道感染、慢性阻塞性肺疾病、结核病、哮喘、肺癌、缺血性心脏病和失明导致的死亡和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)总数中,有4% - 5%可归因于固体燃料的使用。五岁以下儿童的急性呼吸道感染是室内空气污染导致死亡(占64%)和伤残调整生命年(占81%)的最大单一类别,在20世纪90年代初,全球每年约120万例过早死亡显然与此有关。