Conti S, Farchi G, Prati S
Laboratorio di Epidemiologia e Biostatistica, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Roma.
Epidemiol Prev. 1992 Mar;14(50):29-34.
Using the official mortality data, collected by ISTAT, and the data of the Italian Register of AIDS cases, in Istituto Superiore di Sanità, three arguments have been developed: 1) Study of causes according to which ISTAT could classify deaths from AIDS: the leading cause appears to be "Deficit of Cell Immunity" (I.C.D. 279.1). 2) Study of the under-estimation of official data with respect to those of the specific system. Under-estimation decreased over the years, reaching 20% in 1987 and 6% in 1988. 3) Analysis of the general mortality trend in all of Italy and in particular metropolitan areas, with a high concentration of cases, such as Rome and Milan; there is evidence of a possible influence of AIDS deaths on mortality of young age classes particularly notable among single males.
利用意大利国家统计局(ISTAT)收集的官方死亡率数据以及高等卫生研究院(Istituto Superiore di Sanità)的意大利艾滋病病例登记数据,得出了三个观点:1)根据ISTAT对艾滋病死亡进行分类的原因研究:主要原因似乎是“细胞免疫缺陷”(国际疾病分类代码279.1)。2)官方数据相对于特定系统数据的低估情况研究。多年来低估情况有所减少,1987年达到20%,1988年达到6%。3)对意大利全境尤其是病例高度集中的大都市地区(如罗马和米兰)总体死亡率趋势的分析;有证据表明艾滋病死亡可能对年轻年龄组的死亡率产生影响,在单身男性中尤为显著。