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作为发病率估计值的社会保险索赔:疾病还是缺勤?

Social insurance claims as morbidity estimates: sickness or absence?

作者信息

Murray John E

机构信息

Department of Economics, University of Toledo, Ohio 43606, USA.

出版信息

Soc Hist Med. 2003 Aug;16(2):225-45. doi: 10.1093/shm/16.2.225.

Abstract

Historians have closely examined sickness claims by members of British friendly societies. Hoping that insurance records may offer insight into past health conditions, they have generally found that sickness rates increased as mortality rates declined. Aggregated fund level data from a variety of continental sickness insurance programmes from 1885 to 1908 cast doubt on this research strategy. Mortality rates fell among all funds with available data, but absenteeism trended in both directions in different groups of sick funds. Among funds that took in workers who were required to buy sickness insurance, absenteeism rose over time. Among funds in which membership was voluntary, absenteeism fell. To explain these differing trends, I note that voluntary funds attracted older and sicker workers and that the resulting financial problems made it difficult for them to pay out benefits. Social insurance claim records are so heavily influenced by governmental requirements and financial concerns that they may be better understood as records of worker absence rather than of morbidity.

摘要

历史学家们仔细研究了英国互助会会员提出的疾病索赔。他们希望保险记录能为过去的健康状况提供洞见,却普遍发现疾病发生率随着死亡率的下降而上升。1885年至1908年来自各种欧洲大陆疾病保险项目的汇总基金层面数据对这一研究策略提出了质疑。在所有有可用数据的基金中死亡率都下降了,但在不同组别的疾病基金中,旷工率呈双向趋势。在吸纳那些被要求购买疾病保险的工人的基金中,旷工率随时间上升。在会员资格为自愿性质的基金中,旷工率下降。为了解释这些不同的趋势,我指出自愿性质的基金吸引了年龄较大且健康状况较差的工人,由此产生的财务问题使它们难以支付福利。社会保险索赔记录受政府要求和财务担忧的影响如此之大,以至于将它们更好地理解为工人缺勤记录而非发病率记录可能更为恰当。

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