Kotake Kenjiro, Honjo Satoshi, Sugihara Kenichi, Kato Tomoyuki, Kodaira Susumu, Takahashi Takashi, Yasutomi Masayuki, Muto Tetsuichiro, Koyama Yasuo
Registry Committee, the Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum, Tochigi, Japan.
Dis Colon Rectum. 2003 Oct;46(10 Suppl):S32-43. doi: 10.1097/01.DCR.0000083389.92214.AA.
This study was designed to examine trends of colorectal cancer in relation to age, gender, site, and survival during the past 20 years.
The multi-institutional registry of the Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum offered 87,695 surgical cases with invasive adenocarcinoma during 1978 to 1997 for analysis. We calculated survival rates and used the Cox's proportional hazard model for cases during 1978 to 1994.
The number of cases showed a 2.5-fold increase with consistent male predominance confined to the distal colon and the rectum. Colon cancer in the last five-year period was more likely right-sided for females (odds ratio, 1.26; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.16-1.38) and males (odds ratio, 1.16; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.06-1.25) compared with the first period. Cancers in younger patients were more likely at Stage III to IV in the late 1990s if the cancers were in the distal colon, the rectum (for both genders), or the proximal colon (for females). Survival was improved except for cases with proximal colon cancer of Stage IV. In the multivariate analysis, hazard ratios for death in the postoperative five years were 0.77, 0.59, and 0.66 for proximal colon, distal colon, and rectal cancers, respectively, in the last period as compared with those in the first period [corrected]. Reduced hazard ratio for females was the largest for proximal colon cancer with Stage I to II.
Although surgical outcome was largely improved, delayed presentation or diagnosis in younger patients remained a problem. Preferential localization in the proximal colon and survival benefit for females should be investigated.
本研究旨在探讨过去20年中结直肠癌在年龄、性别、部位及生存率方面的变化趋势。
日本结直肠癌学会的多机构登记处提供了1978年至1997年间87,695例浸润性腺癌手术病例用于分析。我们计算了生存率,并对1978年至1994年间的病例使用了Cox比例风险模型。
病例数增加了2.5倍,男性始终占优势,主要集中在结肠远端和直肠。与第一阶段相比,在最后五年中,女性(优势比,1.26;95%置信区间,1.16 - 1.38)和男性(优势比,1.16;95%置信区间,1.06 - 1.25)患右侧结肠癌的可能性更大。在20世纪90年代后期,如果癌症发生在结肠远端、直肠(男女皆是)或近端结肠(女性),年轻患者的癌症更可能处于III至IV期。除IV期近端结肠癌病例外,生存率有所提高。在多变量分析中,与第一阶段相比,最后阶段近端结肠癌、远端结肠癌和直肠癌术后五年死亡的风险比分别为0.77、0.59和0.66[校正后]。I至II期近端结肠癌女性的风险比降低幅度最大。
尽管手术结果有了很大改善,但年轻患者就诊或诊断延迟仍是一个问题。应研究近端结肠的优先定位情况以及女性的生存获益情况。