Bourque Jamieson Macdonald, Hasselblad Vic, Velazquez Eric J, Borges-Neto Salvador, O'connor Christopher M
Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC 27710, USA.
Am Heart J. 2003 Oct;146(4):621-7. doi: 10.1016/S0002-8703(03)00428-9.
The effects of viability status and treatment allocation on long-term mortality in patients with left ventricular dysfunction and coronary artery disease have not been determined. Several observational studies with significant limitations have addressed this issue, and a recent meta-analysis has attempted to combine these results to increase statistical power. However, the analysis did not test for an interaction between viability status and treatment type, and included extraneous studies. We provide an alternate meta-analysis of this primary literature, utilizing interaction statistical methodology on relevant data and factoring in multiple limitations.
We examined papers from this prior meta-analysis examining viable and nonviable patients undergoing surgical or medical therapy. We determined an interaction odds ratio for each study and used an empirical Bayes random-effects model to obtain a combined interaction odds ratio that was tested for statistical significance. We compared our results against an interaction odds ratio we estimated from the primary studies included in the previous meta-analysis.
Nine relevant studies with 1244 patients and 172 events were identified that utilized all 4 treatment/viability subsets. The interaction odds ratio was 2.76 (P =.0176, 95% CI 1.19-6.38), 2.5 times lower than our estimated interaction odds ratio of 7.27 for the prior meta-analysis.
We found a markedly reduced but statistically significant interaction between viability status and treatment allocation. However, numerous limitations in the primary studies and the application of meta-analysis along with significant improvements in medical therapies render a randomized controlled trial necessary to reach a definitive conclusion to this critical question.
左心室功能不全和冠状动脉疾病患者的生存状态及治疗分配对长期死亡率的影响尚未确定。几项存在重大局限性的观察性研究探讨了这一问题,最近的一项荟萃分析试图合并这些结果以提高统计效力。然而,该分析未检验生存状态与治疗类型之间的相互作用,且纳入了无关研究。我们利用交互统计方法对相关数据进行分析,并考虑到多种局限性,对这一主要文献进行了另一种荟萃分析。
我们查阅了之前荟萃分析中的论文,这些论文研究了接受手术或药物治疗的存活和非存活患者。我们为每项研究确定了交互比值比,并使用经验贝叶斯随机效应模型获得合并的交互比值比,并对其进行统计学显著性检验。我们将我们的结果与我们从之前荟萃分析中纳入的主要研究估计的交互比值比进行了比较。
确定了9项相关研究,共1244例患者和172例事件,这些研究使用了所有4种治疗/生存亚组。交互比值比为2.76(P = 0.0176,95%CI 1.19 - 6.38),比我们对之前荟萃分析估计的交互比值比7.27低2.5倍。
我们发现生存状态与治疗分配之间的交互作用明显降低,但具有统计学显著性。然而,主要研究存在诸多局限性,荟萃分析的应用以及医学治疗的显著改善使得有必要进行一项随机对照试验,以就此关键问题得出明确结论。