Dercole Fabio
CIRITA, Politecnico di Milano, Via Ponzio 34/5, 20133 Milano, Italy.
J Math Biol. 2003 Dec;47(6):569-80. doi: 10.1007/s00285-003-0236-4. Epub 2003 Oct 27.
We show in this paper that the evolution of cannibalistic consumer populations can be a never ending story involving alternating levels of polymorphism. More precisely, we show that a monomorphic population can evolve toward high levels of cannibalism until it reaches a so-called branching point, where the population splits into two sub-populations characterized by different, but initially very close, cannibalistic traits. Then, the two traits coevolve until the more cannibalistic sub-population undergoes evolutionary extinction. Finally, the remaining population evolves back to the branching point, thus closing an evolutionary cycle. The model on which the study is based is purely deterministic and derived through the adaptive dynamics approach. Evolutionary dynamics are investigated through numerical bifurcation analysis, applied both to the ecological (resident-mutant) model and to the evolutionary model. The general conclusion emerging from this study is that branching-extinction evolutionary cycles can be present in wide ranges of environmental and demographic parameters, so that their detection is of crucial importance when studying evolutionary dynamics.
我们在本文中表明,同类相食的消费者群体的进化可能是一个永无止境的故事,涉及多态性水平的交替变化。更确切地说,我们表明单态群体可以朝着高度同类相食的方向进化,直到达到一个所谓的分支点,此时群体分裂为两个亚群体,其特征是具有不同但最初非常接近的同类相食特征。然后,这两个特征共同进化,直到更具同类相食性的亚群体经历进化灭绝。最后,剩余的群体又进化回到分支点,从而完成一个进化循环。本研究基于的模型是纯确定性的,通过自适应动力学方法推导得出。通过数值分岔分析研究进化动力学,该分析既应用于生态(常驻 - 突变体)模型,也应用于进化模型。这项研究得出的总体结论是,分支 - 灭绝进化循环可能存在于广泛的环境和人口统计学参数范围内,因此在研究进化动力学时,对其进行检测至关重要。