Dohar Joseph
Department of Pediatric Otolaryngology, Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.
Int J Pediatr Otorhinolaryngol. 2003 Dec;67(12):1317-23. doi: 10.1016/j.ijporl.2003.08.043.
Based on the prevalence of children with tympanostomy tubes who develop otorrhea, an analysis was performed to identify specific prognostic indicators in this population to enable clinicians to determine the likelihood of specific pathogens and select the best empiric therapy.
Data from two multicenter clinical trials of ofloxacin otic solution 0.3% (OFLX) trials in pediatric patients 1-12 years of age were used to develop a statistical model to predict the likelihood of external auditory canal (EAC) or nasopharyngeal (NPG) pathogens. Data were available for 283 microbiologically evaluable patients. Potential indicators included subject age, season of enrollment, ear aspiration, cleaning, otorrhea, and granulation tissue. The model used a stepwise logistic regression analysis relating the occurrence of NPG or EAC pathogens to the potential prognostic indicators.
Among the total study population, 42.8 and 61.5% had NPG and EAC pathogens, respectively; 10.6% had both. The most frequently isolated valid pathogens were Streptococcus pneumoniae and Haemophilus influenzae. Significant prognostic indicators for NPG pathogens were subject age, season of enrollment, and presence of ear odor. Although these indicators were similar for EAC and NPG pathogens, the correlation was reversed, i.e. older subjects had EAC pathogens, and younger ones (< 2 years) had NPG pathogens; EAC pathogens were associated with presence of ear odor and NPG pathogens, with absence of ear odor.
A statistically and clinically valid model has been developed that has prognostic value for the clinician treating children with otorrhea and tympanostomy tubes and serves as an aid in the appropriate choice of empiric therapy.
根据鼓膜置管儿童发生耳漏的患病率,进行分析以确定该人群的特定预后指标,使临床医生能够确定特定病原体的可能性并选择最佳经验性治疗方案。
来自两项针对1至12岁儿科患者的0.3%氧氟沙星耳用溶液(OFLX)多中心临床试验的数据用于建立一个统计模型,以预测外耳道(EAC)或鼻咽(NPG)病原体的可能性。共有283例患者的数据可用于微生物学评估。潜在指标包括受试者年龄、入组季节、耳部抽吸、清洁、耳漏和肉芽组织。该模型使用逐步逻辑回归分析,将NPG或EAC病原体的发生与潜在的预后指标相关联。
在整个研究人群中,分别有42.8%和61.5%的患者存在NPG和EAC病原体;10.6%的患者两者都有。最常分离出的有效病原体是肺炎链球菌和流感嗜血杆菌。NPG病原体的重要预后指标是受试者年龄、入组季节和耳部异味的存在。虽然这些指标对于EAC和NPG病原体相似,但相关性相反,即年龄较大的受试者有EAC病原体,年龄较小的受试者(<2岁)有NPG病原体;EAC病原体与耳部异味的存在相关,而NPG病原体与耳部异味的不存在相关。
已开发出一个在统计学和临床上有效的模型,该模型对治疗耳漏和鼓膜置管儿童的临床医生具有预后价值,并有助于合理选择经验性治疗方案。